November 7, 2019

What Have We Learned?

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By Scott Wohlers

Now that most S&P 500 companies have reported their third quarter results, what have we learned?

  • Over 75% of the companies met or exceeded earnings estimates
  • Most are also seeing rising revenues (sales)
  • Our economy is doing much better than many economists and stock analysts feared
  • GDP growth might be reaccelerating
  • The consumer portion of the economy is especially strong
  • Manufacturing has probably bottomed

Implications for and observations about the U.S. stock market are as follows:

  • Stocks are going higher
  • Many previous high growth stocks have lost momentum
  • Investors are seeking out greater value
  • Several lagging sectors are now finding interest
  • The stock market is still volatile, and trading can be extremely thin
  • Market leadership is changing

There are other observations to be made, but these cover the main points for investors.  Where do we go from here?  Stay invested and adjust portfolios to include previously shunned sectors and invest based upon value.  Avoid the clarion call of fear; stay steady my friends.

The Lonely Bull

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