September 9, 2013

Anxious but growing.

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By Peter Bower

Even with a very nervous backdrop, stock markets last week traded reasonably well both in the US and around the world.

Syria couldn’t entirely get in the way of fundamentals and nor could worries about our Federal Reserve beginning to taper their program of buying bonds; QE3.

Riverplace Capital Management believes the reason is that the markets are starting to sense that our economy is beginning to accelerate to a higher rate of growth.  Last week we saw indicators that pointed to a pick-up in both the manufacturing and service sectors.  Reported auto sales for August were terrific and look to remain strong.  Housing is continuing to show improvement.  All these lead investors to believe that better growth is in the offing.
Good economic fundamentals trump near term concerns although if serious enough these can delay or even waylay underlying trends.  At this point that does not seem to be happening.  Even higher interest rates are not a serious threat so long as they are a response to better economic activity.  So far this seems to be the case as well.
We sense that markets want to continue to recover this week. As long as the backdrop remains somewhat benign, that should happen.

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